La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
We said: Real Valladolid 1-2 Espanyol
Espanyol's recent victories would have boosted their confidence, and the return of Joselu is a huge boost for the Catalan side. Real Valladolid are in desperate need of the points as they bid to stay out of the relegation zone, but we are tipping the visitors to secure all three points in this match.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 42.74% . A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.17%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%) , while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
Result Real Valladolid Draw Espanyol 42.74% ( -0.32) 28.79% ( 0.05) 28.47% ( 0.26)
Both teams to score 43.69% ( -0.01)
37.56% ( -0.08) 62.44% ( 0.07)
17.94% ( -0.05) 82.06% ( 0.06)
71.03% ( -0.21) 28.97% ( 0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.14% ( -0.27) 64.86% ( 0.26)
61.5% ( 0.17) 38.5% ( -0.17)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.76% ( 0.17) 75.24% ( -0.17)
Real Valladolid 42.74%
Espanyol 28.46%
Draw 28.78%
Real Valladolid Draw Espanyol 1-0 @ 13.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.74% 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.78% 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 28.46%
How you voted: Valladolid vs Espanyol
Real Valladolid
Draw
Espanyol
81
rhs 2.0
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