La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada1 - 1Getafe
We said: Granada 2-2 Getafe
This is a really tough game to call, and it would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win here. We fancy the draw, though, as two of the last three meetings between these two teams have finished level, while Getafe have been the draw specialists in Spain's top flight this season alongside Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Getafe |
47.34% ( 0.03) | 26.91% ( 0.04) | 25.75% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.93% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
