While the visitors have been far from impressive this season, they will still be expecting to dominate this match. There should be a fair few changes to the regular Getafe lineup, which could allow the hosts an opportunity or two, but we are still expecting Geta Azulones to win this one comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 79.78%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Tardienta had a probability of 7.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Tardienta win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-12 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Tardienta	Draw	Getafe
7.24% ( -0.03)	12.97% ( -0.04)	79.78% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 48.96% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.29% (

0.06)

31.71% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.77% (

0.07)

53.22% (

-0.07)

Tardienta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.19% (

-0.04)

47.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.91% (

-0.03)

83.08% (

0.03)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

0.02)

6.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.58% (

0.07)

23.41% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Tardienta 7.25%

Getafe 79.78%

Draw 12.97%

Tardienta	Draw	Getafe
2-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 7.25%	1-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 12.97%	0-2 @ 11.45% 0-3 @ 10.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.84% 0-4 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-6 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 79.78%