La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
2 - 3
Villarreal

Sanchez (29'), Uzuni (34')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Moreno (18', 23' pen.), Sorloth (28')
Baena (50'), Albiol (67'), Romero (73'), Parejo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Granada 2-2 Villarreal

Villarreal are difficult to back at the moment, and we can see the points being shared here. Granada actually held Barcelona to a draw before the international break, and they have lost just one of their last four matches at home, so we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Villarreal
30.53% ( 1.62)	26.3% ( 0.96)	43.17% ( -2.58)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

-3.21)

52.68% (

3.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

-2.82)

74.32% (

2.82)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.3% (

-0.48)

31.7% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.88% (

-0.56)

68.12% (

0.57)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78% (

-2.6)

24.22% (

2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.44% (

-3.83)

58.56% (

3.83)

Score Analysis

Granada 30.53%

Villarreal 43.16%

Draw 26.29%

Granada	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.53%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.93) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.35) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.16%