La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna2 - 1Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leganes 1-1 Osasuna
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
34
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Alaves
Saturday, April 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, April 5 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 1-0 Girona
Both of these teams are in disappointing form, and a defeat for either would be damaging at this stage of the season; it would not be a surprise to see the points shared, but we believe that Osasuna will be able to navigate their way to all three points due to their impressive home record. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Girona had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
41.85% ( -0.19) | 26.29% ( 0.03) | 31.86% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.83% ( -0.05) | 52.18% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.12% ( -0.05) | 73.89% ( 0.05) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.12) | 24.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.82% ( -0.17) | 59.18% ( 0.17) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( 0.08) | 30.52% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.26% ( 0.1) | 66.74% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Osasuna 41.85%
Girona 31.86%
Draw 26.29%
| Osasuna | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.85% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 31.86% |
How you voted: Osasuna vs Girona
Osasuna
60.0%Draw
32.0%Girona
8.0%75
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 6pm
Oct 23, 2022 5.30pm
