Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
60.72% ( -0.35) | 21.33% ( 0.13) | 17.95% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.55% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.5% ( -0.21) | 43.5% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.11% ( -0.21) | 65.89% ( 0.21) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( -0.17) | 13.87% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.74% ( -0.35) | 41.26% ( 0.34) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.17% ( 0.12) | 37.83% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.4% ( 0.12) | 74.6% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.95% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |