We said: Girona 1-1 Valencia
Valencia's away issues make it very difficult to back them to win here, but we are not expecting Los Che to lose, and a point against Girona would be valuable when it comes to their battle to stay in the division. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
46.74% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( -0.03) | 27.78% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( 0.1) | 50.69% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( 0.09) | 72.59% ( -0.1) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% ( 0.06) | 21.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.16% ( 0.09) | 54.83% ( -0.1) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.29% ( 0.04) | 32.7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.74% ( 0.05) | 69.26% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Girona 46.74%
Valencia 27.78%
Draw 25.47%
| Girona | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 27.78% |
How you voted: Girona vs Valencia
Girona
51.9%Draw
31.5%Valencia
16.7%54
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Valencia
1-3
Girona
Dec 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-1
Valencia
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Form Guide
