Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Barcelona3 - 1Napoli
FT(HT: 2-1)
The Match
Match Report
Barcelona advance to the Champions League quarter-finals after beating Napoli 4-2 on aggregate in the last 16.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Napoli.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Barcelona and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Barcelona could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Barcelona's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Napoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Mallorca
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Torino
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Napoli |
48.56% ( 0.01) | 23.38% | 28.06% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.7% ( -0.01) | 41.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.3% ( -0.02) | 63.7% ( 0.02) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% ( 0) | 17.21% |