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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Celta Vigo

Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Celta Vigo.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, March 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Almeria
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Celta Vigo

Real Madrid are not in their best form of the season, and Celta certainly have the players to make this a difficult match despite their poor position in the table. Los Blancos will be determined to return to winning ways, though, and we are expecting Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to all three points in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.88%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 11.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
71.88% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11) 17.06% (0.052 0.05) 11.05% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (-0.061 -0.06)39.07% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61% (-0.064 -0.06)61.39% (0.064 0.06)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.02% (0.099 0.1)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.16% (0.069999999999993 0.07)44.83% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.2% (0.058999999999997 0.06)80.8% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.87%
    Celta Vigo 11.05%
    Draw 17.06%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-0 @ 11.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 71.87%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 17.06%
0-1 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.05%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
89.0%
Draw
6.8%
Celta Vigo
4.2%
118
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
Apr 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
Benzema (19' pen., 69')
Sep 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Benzema (24', 46', 87' pen.), Junior (54'), Camavinga (72')
Nacho (32'), Junior (55')
Mina (4'), Cervi (31')
Murillo (43'), Araujo (63'), Solari (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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