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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Sevilla logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Sevilla

Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

Sevilla's recent form has been strong, and Real Madrid will be missing a whole host of important players on Sunday night. We are expecting this to be a tight affair, but the home side's quality, especially in the forward areas, should allow them to secure an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
70.52% (-0.27 -0.27) 17.27% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 12.21% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.18% (1.482 1.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.19% (1.337 1.34)36.8% (-1.341 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.02% (1.437 1.44)58.97% (-1.442 -1.44)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.69% (0.28299999999999 0.28)9.3% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (0.67099999999999 0.67)31.39% (-0.675 -0.68)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (1.454 1.45)41.36% (-1.457 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (1.262 1.26)77.87% (-1.265 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 70.52%
    Sevilla 12.21%
    Draw 17.27%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
2-0 @ 10.85% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.488 -0.49)
3-0 @ 8.59% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 7.58% (0.102 0.1)
4-0 @ 5.1% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.175 0.18)
5-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.99% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.85% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.27%
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid
87.8%
Draw
9.6%
Sevilla
2.6%
115
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Real Madrid
Alaba (74' og.)
Ramos (76'), Navas (78'), Ocampos (85'), Soumare (87'), Lamela (90+7')
Carvajal (78')
Junior (85'), Ancelotti (85'), Camavinga (90+4')
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Sevilla
1-2
Real Madrid
Mir (3')
Jordan (90+1'), Torres (90+7')
Acuna (83')
Rodrygo (29', 69')
Vazquez (33'), Tchouameni (65'), Nacho (84'), Ceballos (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
3-1
Sevilla
Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')
Lamela (54')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Sevilla
2-3
Real Madrid
Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')
Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')
Nov 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Real Madrid
2-1
Sevilla
Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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