We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla
Sevilla's recent form has been strong, and Real Madrid will be missing a whole host of important players on Sunday night. We are expecting this to be a tight affair, but the home side's quality, especially in the forward areas, should allow them to secure an important three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 70.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.