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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Almeria

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Almeria

Kubo (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Mallorca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Almeria

Almeria's home form this season has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of securing all three points here. We are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but Alguacil's side should have enough quality to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
72.38% (0.227 0.23) 17.38% (-0.126 -0.13) 10.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.26900000000001 0.27)42.98% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.267 0.27)65.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.128 0.13)10.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (0.29400000000001 0.29)34.11% (-0.297 -0.3)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.07% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)83.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 72.38%
    Almeria 10.23%
    Draw 17.38%
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.38%
1-1 @ 8.26% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Almeria

Real Sociedad
82.9%
Draw
13.2%
Almeria
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad

Babic (90+2')
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
Oct 27, 2013 6pm
Real Sociedad
3-0
Almeria
Griezmann (13', 50'), Angel (55')
Pardo (35')

Rodri (5'), Torsiglieri (49'), Rafita (55')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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