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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Almeria

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Almeria

Kubo (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Mallorca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Almeria

Almeria's home form this season has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of securing all three points here. We are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but Alguacil's side should have enough quality to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
72.38% (0.227 0.23) 17.38% (-0.126 -0.13) 10.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.26900000000001 0.27)42.98% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.267 0.27)65.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.128 0.13)10.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (0.29400000000001 0.29)34.11% (-0.297 -0.3)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.07% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)83.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 72.38%
    Almeria 10.23%
    Draw 17.38%
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.38%
1-1 @ 8.26% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Almeria

Real Sociedad
Draw
Almeria
Real Sociedad
82.9%
Draw
13.2%
Almeria
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad

Babic (90+2')
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
Oct 27, 2013 6pm
Real Sociedad
3-0
Almeria
Griezmann (13', 50'), Angel (55')
Pardo (35')

Rodri (5'), Torsiglieri (49'), Rafita (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo36157145654252
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Osasuna351015104351-845
11Valencia351112124351-845
12Real Sociedad36127173242-1043
13Sevilla361011154049-941
14GironaGirona36118174253-1141
15Getafe35109163134-339
16Espanyol35109163847-939
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3688204058-1832
RReal ValladolidValladolid3644282686-6016


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