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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Almeria

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Almeria

Kubo (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eguaras (89')
Suarez Charris (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 3-0 Mallorca
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Almeria

Almeria's home form this season has been excellent, but they are a different team on the road, and Real Sociedad will fancy their chances of securing all three points here. We are expecting a close game in terms of the scoreline, but Alguacil's side should have enough quality to secure the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
72.38% (0.227 0.23) 17.38% (-0.126 -0.13) 10.23% (-0.104 -0.1)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.26900000000001 0.27)42.98% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.267 0.27)65.38% (-0.271 -0.27)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (0.128 0.13)10.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (0.29400000000001 0.29)34.11% (-0.297 -0.3)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)48.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.07% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02)83.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 72.38%
    Almeria 10.23%
    Draw 17.38%
Real SociedadDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 9.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.5% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.79% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.38%
1-1 @ 8.26% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.38%
0-1 @ 3.66% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.23%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Almeria

Real Sociedad
82.9%
Draw
13.2%
Almeria
3.9%
76
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 1pm
gameweek 16
Almeria
0-2
Real Sociedad

Babic (90+2')
Silva (47'), Sorloth (53')
Feb 13, 2015 7.45pm
Almeria
2-2
Real Sociedad
Verza (5' pen.), Hemed (40')
Corona (30'), Velez (46'), Bifouma (69'), Dos Santos (73'), Zongo (85')
Agirretxe (27'), Canales (48')
Rulli (3'), Granero (18'), Berchiche (82'), Ansotegi (84')
Sep 21, 2014 11am
Real Sociedad
1-2
Almeria
Castro (85')
Bergara (56')
De la Bella (30' og.), Dos Santos (51')
Zongo (23'), Dubarbier (54'), Soriana (58'), Trujillo (58'), Verza (65'), Teye (73'), Navarro (88')
Dubarbier (79')
Mar 24, 2014 9pm
Almeria
4-3
Real Sociedad
Diaz (29'), Verza (66' pen., 71' pen.), Hicham (90')
Trujillo (21'), Diaz (63'), Soriano (72'), Verza (73')
Vela (21' pen.), Agirretxe (58'), Bergara (85')
Martinez (65'), Gonzalez (70'), de La Bella (87')
Oct 27, 2013 6pm
Real Sociedad
3-0
Almeria
Griezmann (13', 50'), Angel (55')
Pardo (35')

Rodri (5'), Torsiglieri (49'), Rafita (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona77002351821
2Real Madrid75201651117
3Atletico MadridAtletico7430113815
4Mallorca842286214
5Villarreal74211414014
6Athletic Bilbao7412117413
7Osasuna7322811-311
8Rayo Vallecano824298110
9AlavesAlaves83141112-110
10Celta Vigo7304141409
11Real BetisBetis72327709
12Real Sociedad822467-18
13GironaGirona7223810-28
14Sevilla722379-28
15Getafe814356-17
16Espanyol7214711-47
17Leganes814359-47
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas7034813-53


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