Almeria's home record this season is excellent, and it is difficult to ignore it when picking a result here. Real Sociedad have won five of their seven games on their travels, though, and we are backing the visitors to navigate their way to what would be an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
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