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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Elche

Almeria
2 - 1
Elche

Baptistao (22'), Embarba (52')
Ely (59'), de la Hoz (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ponce (90')
Nwankwo (20'), Clerc (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Almeria
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Elche

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-0 Elche

 This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and those involved in the relegation battle will certainly be hoping for an Elche win. Almeria's home form this season has been strong, though, and we are expecting La Union to secure a vital three points, relegating Elche in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawElche
53.46% (0.524 0.52) 24.61% (-0.117 -0.12) 21.93% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 49.56% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (0.040999999999997 0.04)51.99% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.73% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.223 0.22)19.4% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (0.364 0.36)51.21% (-0.363 -0.36)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.375 -0.38)38.51% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (-0.36 -0.36)75.26% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 53.45%
    Elche 21.93%
    Draw 24.61%
AlmeriaDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.25% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.04% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Almeria vs Elche

Almeria
76.3%
Draw
15.5%
Elche
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 7pm
gameweek 2
Elche
1-1
Almeria
Collado (30')
Gumbau (52')
Sadiq (23')
Eguaras (54'), Akieme (55'), Baptistao (86'), Fernandes (86')
(0')
Jan 6, 2022 7pm
Round of 32
Almeria
1-2
Elche
Ramazani (42')
Robles (56'), Sousa (65'), Appiah (66'), Samu (68'), Centelles (83')
Piatti (52'), Guti (84')
Barragan (49'), Gonzalez (64'), Gonzalo (66'), Milla (68'), Josema (90')
Jan 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 25
Almeria
0-2
Elche

Nunez (8'), Maras (35'), Vada (39')
Nunez (38')
Fidel (63'), Milla (89')
Gil (50'), Cruz (57'), Calvo (59'), Gonzalo (67'), Badia (84')
Nov 16, 2019 5.30pm
gameweek 16
Elche
1-1
Almeria
Nino (53')
Fidel (13'), Sanchez (27')
Owona (85')
Balliu (30'), Vada (92')
May 12, 2019 11am
gameweek 38
Almeria
5-3
Elche
Gimenez (15', 53', 45' pen.), Carlos (59'), Aguza (90')
Aguza (85')
Gil (3' pen.), Nino (9'), Sanchez (69' pen.)
Villar (15'), Gil (37'), Nino (45'), Sanchez (46'), Verdu (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010
> La Liga Full Table


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