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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Almeria

Osasuna
3 - 1
Almeria

Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lazaro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, May 6 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are in the better form entering this match, but it is difficult to back them on the road considering their struggles this term. Osasuna will be determined to return to winning ways, but we believe that the points will ultimately be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
59.86% (0.07 0.07) 21.17% (-0.023 -0.02) 18.97% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.85% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.033000000000001 0.03)13.37% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.72% (0.067 0.07)40.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)35.32% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)72.08% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 59.86%
    Almeria 18.97%
    Draw 21.17%
OsasunaDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 59.86%
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 18.97%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Almeria

Osasuna
74.2%
Draw
19.4%
Almeria
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2022 8pm
gameweek 5
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna
Avila (28')
Garcia (5')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
gameweek 23
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
gameweek 4
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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