Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Almeria |
44.94% ( -0.54) | 26.64% ( 0.18) | 28.43% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.09% ( -0.5) | 54.91% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.81% ( -0.42) | 76.2% ( 0.42) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% ( -0.48) | 24.34% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.27% ( -0.68) | 58.73% ( 0.69) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.57% ( 0.02) | 34.43% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.86% ( 0.02) | 71.14% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |