We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Valencia
We expect an even contest here, as a lively Valencia side look to capitalise on Real Sociedad's recent struggles.
Nonetheless, with the visitors' consistency problems proving difficult to shake off, we can see the home side grinding out a much-needed win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.