La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 1
Barcelona

Lino (67'), Guillamon (84'), Castillejo (90+7'), Foulquier (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewandowski (90+3')
Garcia (21'), Alonso (45'), Gavi (89'), Pique (90+2'), Torres (90+8')

Jules Kounde plays down injury fears after Valencia clash

Barcelona centre-back Jules Kounde says that he was suffering with muscular fatigue against Valencia on Saturday.

Oct 30, 09:09

Barcelona players celebrate beating Valencia on October 29, 2022

Robert Lewandowski winner helps Barcelona move to top of La Liga

Barcelona move to the top of the La Liga table courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Valencia at Mestalla, with Robert Lewandowski netting a last-gasp winner.

Oct 29, 22:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Mallorca
Saturday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 0-3 Bayern
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona

Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and it has been an emotional week for Barcelona. Xavi will be demanding a response from his players on Saturday evening, though, and we are expecting the Catalan outfit to return to winning ways at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Valencia win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
18.9% ( 0.08)	21.36% ( 0.06)	59.73% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.21% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

-0.15)

42.16% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43% (

-0.15)

64.57% (

0.15)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

35.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

72.77% (

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

-0.09)

13.74% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.99% (

-0.18)

41% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Valencia 18.9%

Barcelona 59.73%

Draw 21.35%

Valencia	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.67% Total : 18.9%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 9.96% 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 59.73%