La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 22, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
1 - 0
Girona

Monchu (24')
Amallah (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martin (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid
Saturday, April 15 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Elche
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Girona

Girona will be missing a number of important players for this match, but we are finding it hard to back them to lose due to their recent form. Real Valladolid are also impressing under their new manager, so we have ultimately settled on a draw in this weekend's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Girona
44.94% ( -0.07)	25.8% ( -0)	29.26% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.8% (

0.08)

51.21% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.96% (

0.07)

73.05% (

-0.06)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.27%

22.73% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.6% (

-0)

56.41% (

0.01)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

0.11)

31.86% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.12)

68.3% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 44.93%

Girona 29.26%

Draw 25.8%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.26%