La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Valladolid2 - 3Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Valladolid
Monday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Girona
Sunday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
36
We said: Real Valladolid 1-2 Osasuna
This is far from a certain away win considering Osasuna's struggles on the road this season, but Real Valladolid are an incredibly difficult team to back at the moment, so we are expecting the visitors to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
31.12% ( -0.15) | 26.92% ( -0.01) | 41.96% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.13% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( -0.01) | 54.88% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.83% ( -0) | 76.17% ( 0) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% ( -0.11) | 32.41% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.07% ( -0.12) | 68.93% ( 0.12) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.17% ( 0.08) | 25.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.21% ( 0.11) | 60.79% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid 31.12%
Osasuna 41.96%
Draw 26.91%
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.12% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.96% |
How you voted: Valladolid vs Osasuna
Real Valladolid
28.0%Draw
24.0%Osasuna
48.0%25
Form Guide
