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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Valladolid logo

Osasuna
2 - 0
Valladolid

Avila (13' pen.), Gomez (19')
Torro (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rosa (29'), Mesa (33'), Olaza (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid have only lost one of their last five league matches, while four of the last five La Liga fixtures between these two sides have finished level. Osasuna will be the favourites at home, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
44.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.91% (-0.029 -0.03) 28.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)56.07% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.066000000000003 0.07)77.15% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.078000000000003 0.08)24.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.106 0.11)59.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.94%
    Real Valladolid 28.15%
    Draw 26.9%
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Valladolid

Osasuna
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Real Valladolid
20.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
Valladolid
3-2
Osasuna
Weissman (7', 76'), Orellana (56' pen.)
Mesa (24'), Alcaraz (45'), Weissman (84'), Perez (90+5')
Budimir (27'), Torres (43')
Hernandez (12'), Moncayola (66'), Vidal (71'), Budimir (80'), Calleri (82')
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2019 5.30pm
Jun 2, 2018 7.30pm
Valladolid
2-0
Osasuna
Hervias (31'), Mata (63' pen.)
Michel (36'), Borja (63'), Mata (90')

Merida (30'), Xisco (42'), Lillo (59'), Herrera (62'), Sanjurjo (63'), Flano (88')
Lillo (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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