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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Cadiz logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Cadiz

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Atletico will again be missing a number of important players for this match, but Cadiz have injury problems of their own ahead of kickoff on Friday night. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable match for Simeone's side, but we are expecting the Spanish champions to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
69.81%19.64%10.55%
Both teams to score 39.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32%13.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11%40.89%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.14%53.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81%87.19%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.8%
    Cadiz 10.55%
    Draw 19.64%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 14.57%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.98%
4-0 @ 4.81%
4-1 @ 2.98%
5-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.64%
0-1 @ 4.56%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.55%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
87.9%
Draw
7.1%
Cadiz
5.0%
141
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
Aug 12, 2016 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Atletico
Cadiz win 3-2 on penalties
Sanchez (90' pen.)
Carrasco (13')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid75201651117
3Atletico MadridAtletico7430113815
4Athletic Bilbao8422128414
5Mallorca842286214
6Villarreal74211414014
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Rayo Vallecano824298110
9Celta Vigo83141515010
10AlavesAlaves83141112-110
11Real BetisBetis72327709
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Getafe814356-17
16Espanyol7214711-47
17Leganes814359-47
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas7034813-53


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