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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Cadiz logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Cadiz

Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Cadiz

Atletico will again be missing a number of important players for this match, but Cadiz have injury problems of their own ahead of kickoff on Friday night. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable match for Simeone's side, but we are expecting the Spanish champions to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
69.81%19.64%10.55%
Both teams to score 39.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.36%51.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.57%73.43%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32%13.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11%40.89%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.14%53.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.81%87.19%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 69.8%
    Cadiz 10.55%
    Draw 19.64%
Atletico MadridDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 14.57%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.98%
4-0 @ 4.81%
4-1 @ 2.98%
5-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.18%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 69.8%
1-1 @ 9.07%
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.64%
0-1 @ 4.56%
1-2 @ 2.81%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 10.55%

How you voted: Atletico vs Cadiz

Atletico Madrid
87.9%
Draw
7.1%
Cadiz
5.0%
141
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
Aug 12, 2016 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-1
Atletico
Cadiz win 3-2 on penalties
Sanchez (90' pen.)
Carrasco (13')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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