Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
54.17% | 24.48% | 21.35% |
Both teams to score 49.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.92% | 52.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% | 73.8% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% | 19.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.19% | 50.81% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.86% | 39.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.15% | 75.85% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.03% 1-2 @ 5.45% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 48 |
3 | Barcelona | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 60 | 24 | 36 | 45 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 41 |
5 | Villarreal | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 32 |
7 | GironaGirona | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 31 |
8 | Osasuna | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 30 |
9 | Mallorca | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 29 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 28 |
12 | Sevilla | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 23 |
17 | Espanyol | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 23 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Valencia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 19 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 47 | -32 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |