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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Betis logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Betis

Pepelu (66' pen.)
Pepelu (43'), Guillamon (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perez (19', 77')
Sabaly (13'), Pellegrini (14'), Bakambu (64'), Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Real Betis

Real Betis have dropped points in 12 of their 15 away league games this season, while Valencia have posted eight wins at Mestalla in Spain's top flight in 2023-24. Los Che are in strong form, and we are expecting the six-time Spanish champions to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
42.45% (0.296 0.3) 28.16% (0.114 0.11) 29.39% (-0.409 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (-0.531 -0.53)59.99% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (-0.406 -0.41)80.23% (0.407 0.41)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.94% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.118 -0.12)63.57% (0.119 0.12)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (-0.605 -0.6)36.4% (0.606 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.616 -0.62)73.19% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 42.44%
    Real Betis 29.38%
    Draw 28.15%
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Valencia vs Betis

Valencia
71.4%
Draw
20.6%
Real Betis
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Betis
3-0
Valencia
Diao (41'), Roca (52'), Ezzalzouli (85')
Perez (11'), Pezzella (90')

Ozkacar (40'), Paulista (43')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Betis
1-1
Valencia
Perez (1')
Guardado (90+11'), Iglesias (90+10'), Cruz (90+6')
Lopez (71')
Musah (81')
Nov 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
3-0
Betis
Almeida (63'), Guillamon (81' pen.), Kluivert (90+3')
May 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 36
Valencia
0-3
Betis

Alderete (31')
Jose (57'), Canales (87'), Iglesias (90')
Canales (45'), Rodri (60'), Bartra (83')
Apr 23, 2022 9pm
Final
Betis
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Betis win 5-4 on penalties)
Iglesias (11')
Carvalho (14'), Pezzella (72'), Iglesias (95'), Tello (113')
Duro (30')
Paulista (5'), Guillamon (74'), Alderete (90+2'), Correia (90+3'), Soler (98')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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