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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Betis logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Betis

Pepelu (66' pen.)
Pepelu (43'), Guillamon (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perez (19', 77')
Sabaly (13'), Pellegrini (14'), Bakambu (64'), Miranda (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Valencia
Monday, April 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Real Betis

Real Betis have dropped points in 12 of their 15 away league games this season, while Valencia have posted eight wins at Mestalla in Spain's top flight in 2023-24. Los Che are in strong form, and we are expecting the six-time Spanish champions to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
42.45% (0.296 0.3) 28.16% (0.114 0.11) 29.39% (-0.409 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.495 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (-0.531 -0.53)59.99% (0.533 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (-0.406 -0.41)80.23% (0.407 0.41)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)27.94% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (-0.118 -0.12)63.57% (0.119 0.12)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (-0.605 -0.6)36.4% (0.606 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.616 -0.62)73.19% (0.617 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 42.44%
    Real Betis 29.38%
    Draw 28.15%
ValenciaDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 42.44%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Valencia vs Betis

Valencia
71.4%
Draw
20.6%
Real Betis
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Betis
3-0
Valencia
Diao (41'), Roca (52'), Ezzalzouli (85')
Perez (11'), Pezzella (90')

Ozkacar (40'), Paulista (43')
Jun 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Betis
1-1
Valencia
Perez (1')
Guardado (90+11'), Iglesias (90+10'), Cruz (90+6')
Lopez (71')
Musah (81')
Nov 10, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
3-0
Betis
Almeida (63'), Guillamon (81' pen.), Kluivert (90+3')
May 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 36
Valencia
0-3
Betis

Alderete (31')
Jose (57'), Canales (87'), Iglesias (90')
Canales (45'), Rodri (60'), Bartra (83')
Apr 23, 2022 9pm
Final
Betis
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Betis win 5-4 on penalties)
Iglesias (11')
Carvalho (14'), Pezzella (72'), Iglesias (95'), Tello (113')
Duro (30')
Paulista (5'), Guillamon (74'), Alderete (90+2'), Correia (90+3'), Soler (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13GironaGirona2796123540-533
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2677122537-1228
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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