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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Getafe logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Getafe

Duro (40')
Pepelu (67'), Guillamon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moriba (43'), Angel Carmona (78'), Dakonam (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 3-3 Las Palmas
Saturday, March 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-0 Getafe

The absences of Mayoral and Greenwood will be felt by Getafe, and we are backing Valencia to edge a close contest on Saturday. Los Che have not lost at home to Getafe in La Liga since April 2018, and we are expecting their unbeaten run in this fixture to continue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 51.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGetafe
51.32% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 26.23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 22.45% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)57.48% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)78.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.06% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)41.1% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)77.65% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 51.3%
    Getafe 22.45%
    Draw 26.23%
ValenciaDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.3%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 22.45%

How you voted: Valencia vs Getafe

Valencia
69.1%
Draw
25.5%
Getafe
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (87')
Milla (57'), Dakonam (62')
Duarte (90+2')

Correia (42'), Paulista (43'), Baraja (43'), Foulquier (90+3')
Paulista (50'), Guerra (88')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Getafe
1-0
Valencia
Mayoral (82')
Sep 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
5-1
Getafe
Lato (7'), Lino (14'), Castillejo (16'), Gonzalez (65'), Duro (68')
Alvarez (78')
Mar 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 28
Getafe
0-0
Valencia
Ramirez (39'), Alena (49'), Mayoral (73'), Flores (73'), Mata (80'), Maksimovic (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')
Alderete (31'), Guillamon (82'), Moriba (87'), Foulquier (90+4'), Costa (90+5')
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Getafe
Soler (11' pen.)
Wass (13'), Soler (50'), Gomez (57'), Gaya (70'), Jason (90+2'), Alderete (90+6')
Guillamon (3')

Olivera (31'), Cabaco (38'), Miguel Gonzalez Martin del Campo (83')
Cabaco (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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