Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
50.51% ( 0.04) | 27.51% ( 0) | 21.97% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 41.86% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.89% ( -0.03) | 62.11% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.18% ( -0.02) | 81.82% ( 0.02) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.12% ( 0) | 24.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( 0.01) | 59.48% ( -0.01) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.72% ( -0.06) | 44.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.65% ( -0.05) | 80.35% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 15.32% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.03% 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.11% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |