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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Valencia desperately need to stop their losing run, but Villarreal are a classy outfit, and we can see the Yellow Submarine securing all three points to continue their excellent start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
36.68% (0.058 0.06) 27.15% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 36.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.115 -0.12)54.98% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.096 -0.1)76.25% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.83% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.11 -0.11)29.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.135 -0.13)65.07% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 36.67%
    Villarreal 36.16%
    Draw 27.15%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Villarreal
60.3%
116
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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