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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Villarreal

Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 4-3 Celta Vigo
Monday, August 26 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal

Valencia desperately need to stop their losing run, but Villarreal are a classy outfit, and we can see the Yellow Submarine securing all three points to continue their excellent start to the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
36.68% (0.058 0.06) 27.15% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 36.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.02% (-0.115 -0.12)54.98% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.75% (-0.096 -0.1)76.25% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.83% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)64.69% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86% (-0.11 -0.11)29.14% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93% (-0.135 -0.13)65.07% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 36.67%
    Villarreal 36.16%
    Draw 27.15%
ValenciaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.67%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.39% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.16%

How you voted: Valencia vs Villarreal

Valencia
17.2%
Draw
22.4%
Villarreal
60.3%
116
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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