Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 46.9%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.