La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 0Girona
We said: Valencia 1-2 Girona
Valencia are really struggling at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. Girona will enter the game off the back of successive losses, but we can see the Catalan side shading a close fixture at Mestalla this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
40.3% ( -0.06) | 25.9% ( -0.01) | 33.8% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.94% ( 0.05) | 50.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.97% ( 0.05) | 72.03% ( -0.05) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.01) | 24.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.01) | 58.97% ( 0.01) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 0.07) | 28.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.1% ( 0.09) | 63.9% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Valencia 40.3%
Girona 33.8%
Draw 25.9%
| Valencia | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.8% |
How you voted: Valencia vs Girona
Valencia
21.8%Draw
18.2%Girona
60.0%110
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Valencia
1-3
Girona
Dec 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-1
Valencia
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
