La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 22, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia0 - 3Atletico
We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid
This is a really interesting match, and Valencia will be confident of picking up a positive result considering their recent form at home. Atletico will be desperate to avoid a third straight match without a victory in the league, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to navigate their way to a hugely important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.17%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
16.29% ( -0.13) | 23.07% ( -0.13) | 60.63% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
