La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid1 - 2Valencia
The Match
Match Report
Valencia score a last-gasp winner through Hugo Duro to record a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid in Saturday's La Liga contest at Bernabeu.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia at Bernabeu.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
71.43% ( 0.85) | 16.54% ( -0.52) | 12.03% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( 1.74) | 33.63% ( -1.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( 1.96) | 55.45% ( -1.96) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.7% ( 0.63) | 8.3% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.05% ( 1.53) | 28.95% ( -1.53) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.67) | 39.51% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.79% ( 0.61) | 76.2% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Real Madrid 71.43%
Valencia 12.03%
Draw 16.54%
| Real Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.43% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.54% | 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.03% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia
Real Madrid
83.9%Draw
8.9%Valencia
7.1%112
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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