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Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal logo

Atletico
0 - 0
Villarreal


Lodi (56')
FT

Albiol (50'), Iborra (79')

Preview: Atletico Madrid vs. Villarreal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Atletico Madrid will be looking to return to winning ways in La Liga when they welcome Villarreal to the Wanda Metropolitano for Saturday's showdown.

The hosts were held to a 0-0 draw by Huesca in midweek, while Villarreal enjoyed a 3-1 victory over Alaves in their fourth game of the season.


Match preview

Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone pictured in August 2020© Reuters

After subjecting Granada to a 6-1 thrashing in their inaugural game of the 2020-21 campaign, Atletico fans could have been forgiven for expecting their side to continue in the same vein against newly-promoted Huesca on Wednesday evening.

However, Diego Simeone's men could not find a way past the dogged Huesca outfit and were held to a goalless stalemate by their opponents amid the disrupted fixture schedule.

Nevertheless, Atletico are now gearing up for a return to familiar surroundings, where a brace from debutant Luis Suarez off the bench paved the way for a crushing victory over Granada last weekend.

Barcelona made a winning start to their season against Villarreal and Real Madrid have taken seven points from a possible nine thus far, so Simeone will be aware that Atletico cannot afford any early slip-ups in their bid to break into the top two and dethrone the reigning champions.

Unai Emery in charge of Arsenal on March 14, 2019© Reuters

Meanwhile, Villarreal managed to put their crushing defeat to Barca behind them as they enjoyed a straightforward victory over Alaves on Wednesday evening.

Paco Alcacer netted two goals either side of a Gerard Moreno penalty to propel the Yellow Submarine to their second win of the campaign, and Unai Emery's side currently sit fourth at this early stage of the season.

Of course, rankings after only a few weeks of the season are never expected to foretell the final tale, but Villarreal will no doubt be aiming to cement their position in the Champions League places after finishing 10 points adrift of fourth-placed Sevilla in the 2019-20 campaign.

However, the Yellow Submarine are now coming up against an Atletico side whom they have not beaten since the 2017-18 campaign, with Atletico running out 3-1 winners in this fixture last season.

Atletico Madrid La Liga form: WD

Villarreal La Liga form: DWLW


Team News

Atletico Madrid defender Jose Gimenez pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Jose Gimenez was being tipped to move to Manchester City before the Premier League side landed Ruben Dias from Benfica, and the Atletico defender is set to miss out again here following a positive coronavirus test.

Sime Vrsaljko is the only other absentee for Simeone, who otherwise has a clean bill of health for the visit of Villarreal.

Thomas Partey played the full 90 minutes against Huesca amid continued links with Arsenal, but Koke may be involved from the first whistle for this one, while Angel Correa and Yannick Carrasco are both options for change out wide.

As for Villarreal, Emery is facing an injury crisis at left-back with Alberto Moreno, Alfonso Pedraza and Pervis Estupinan all at risk of missing out, although Jaume Costa will be available for the visitors.

Francis Coquelin is also sidelined for the next few weeks with a hamstring injury, meaning that Vicente Iborra and Manu Trigueros will battle it out to partner Dani Parejo in midfield.

Should Moreno and Alcacer both be deployed up top on Saturday, 19-year-old Takefusa Kubo or 21-year-old Samu Chukwueze are options on the right-hand side of Emery's midfield.

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Tripper, Hermoso, Felipe, Lodi; Correa, Saul, Koke, Carrasco; Costa, Felix

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Gaspar, Albiol, Torres, Costa; Kubo, Parejo, Iborra, Gomez; Alcacer, Moreno


SM words green background

We say: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Villarreal

Both of these teams have formidable attacking power in their ranks and this should be an entertaining affair. However, we feel that Atletico will be too strong at home for Villarreal and are backing Simeone's side to get back to winning ways this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Villarreal?

Atletico Madrid
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Villarreal
0.0%
0
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Atletico Madrid attacker Thomas Lemar pictured in September 2019
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Sevilla145361318-518
13Rayo Vallecano134451314-116
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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