Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.