Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.