Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 52.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.