Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Longford Town win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.