Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
