Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.