Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.