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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Barnsley

Birmingham
6 - 2
Barnsley

Stansfield (33' pen.), May (47', 55'), Harris (72'), Dowell (82'), Jutkiewicz (89')
Klarer (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keillor-Dunn (35'), Humphrys (59')
Bland (76')
Durand de Gevigney (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 1 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Barnsley

Unbeaten across 20 League One home matches, Birmingham should be extremely confident of putting Barnsley to the sword at St Andrew's this weekend. The Tykes are in the midst of a six-game winless spell and do not have a permanent boss, making it even harder to envisage an away victory in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw has a probability of 19.2% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
66.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 19.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 13.8% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.604 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.544 0.54)42.21% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.543 0.54)64.61% (-0.544 -0.54)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.11800000000001 0.12)11.68% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.253 0.25)36.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.60700000000001 0.61)42.4% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.516 0.52)78.78% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 66.93%
    Barnsley 13.8%
    Draw 19.25%
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Barnsley

Birmingham City
Draw
Barnsley
Birmingham City
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Barnsley
1-2
Birmingham
Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage441510194048-855
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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