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League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Birmingham logo

Bolton
3 - 1
Birmingham

McAtee (39'), Thomason (49'), Collins (71')
McAtee (53'), Morley (61'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Forino-Joseph (90+8'), Osei-Tutu (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hansson (23')
Gardner-Hickman (48'), Klarer (90+9'), Harris (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, March 1 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 0-1 Birmingham City

Birmingham are on a roll, and look like they are capable of beating anyone in League One at the moment. Bolton have improved under Schumacher and will not be an easy test for the Blues, but we do expect the visitors to edge past them in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBirmingham City
32.39% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 25.44% (-0.265 -0.27) 42.17% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.857 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (1.123 1.12)48.44% (-1.119 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (1.017 1.02)70.57% (-1.011 -1.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (0.50399999999999 0.5)28.31% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (0.627 0.63)64.04% (-0.621 -0.62)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.664 0.66)22.86% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (0.96599999999999 0.97)56.59% (-0.96 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 32.39%
    Birmingham City 42.17%
    Draw 25.44%
Bolton WanderersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.265 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.093000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.39%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.304 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 9.55% (-0.255 -0.25)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 42.17%

How you voted: Bolton vs Birmingham

Bolton Wanderers
40.4%
Draw
15.4%
Birmingham City
44.2%
52
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Birmingham
2-0
Bolton
Iwata (3'), Stansfield (86' pen.)
Klarer (87')

Dempsey (18'), Cogley (24'), Matete (39'), McAtee (78')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-1
Bolton

Harding (60')
Connolly (71')
Connolly (69'), Noone (96')
Aug 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
1-0
Birmingham
Buckley (73')
Buckley (75'), Olkowski (87')

Kieftenbeld (14'), Gardner (71'), Pedersen (83')
Apr 3, 2018 8pm
Aug 15, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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