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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Lincoln City

Birmingham
1 - 0
Lincoln

Dowell (71' pen.)
Stansfield (23'), Klarer (32'), Allsop (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrandles (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 4-1 Crawley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Lincoln City

Birmingham City have been dominant in League One this season, including two victories against Lincoln already this campaign, and we expect the Blues to win this fixture for a third time on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
68.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08) 19.82% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 11.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 41.96% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (-0.129 -0.13)50.31% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.74% (-0.115 -0.12)72.26% (0.116 0.12)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)13.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)40.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.55% (-0.211 -0.21)51.44% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.36% (-0.14 -0.14)85.64% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 68.77%
    Lincoln City 11.39%
    Draw 19.82%
Birmingham CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 13.94% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 13.92% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.63% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 68.77%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.08% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.82%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 11.39%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Lincoln

Birmingham City
91.2%
Draw
2.9%
Lincoln City
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 12pm
Third Round
Birmingham
2-1
Lincoln
Yokoyama (1'), Dykes (77')
Makama (90' pen.)
Montsma (83')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Lincoln
1-3
Birmingham
Anderson (14', 79'), Thor Willumsson (52')
Klarer (47'), Cochrane (50'), Iwata (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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