Birmingham2 - 1Stevenage
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
for
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
for
We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Stevenage
League-leaders Birmingham will be keen to wrap up the title as soon as possible, and they are unlikely to take Tuesday's game lightly. Stevenage will find it difficult to break down their hosts' excellent defence considering their struggles in the final third, and it is hard to see them avoiding defeat at St Andrew's. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stevenage |
63.27% ( -0.07) | 22.96% ( -0.01) | 13.76% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 39.84% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.92% ( 0.19) | 57.08% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.04% ( 0.15) | 77.96% ( -0.15) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.04) | 17.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.74% ( 0.07) | 48.26% ( -0.07) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.38% ( 0.25) | 51.62% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.25% ( 0.16) | 85.75% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.27% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 13.76% |
