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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Birmingham City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 0-1 Birmingham City

 In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon. Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
27.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 47.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.164 -0.16)47.62% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.152 -0.15)69.82% (0.152 0.15)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.134 -0.13)31.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.157 -0.16)67.51% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)20.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)52.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Birmingham City 47.59%
    Draw 24.72%
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
Birmingham City
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Barnsley
1-1
Birmingham
Styles (86')
Pedersen (89')
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
> Match Report
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Barnsley
0-1
Birmingham
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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