Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
62.97% (![]() | 19.39% (![]() | 17.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.04% (![]() | 34.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.05% (![]() | 56.94% (![]() |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.37% (![]() | 10.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.55% (![]() | 34.45% (![]() |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% (![]() | 33.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% (![]() | 69.62% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.77% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 4.01% Total : 62.97% | 1-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.39% | 1-2 @ 4.83% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 79 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 68 |
3 | Wrexham | 35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 68 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 62 |
5 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 57 | 51 | 6 | 60 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 58 |
8 | Reading | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 55 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 36 | 16 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 53 |
10 | Barnsley | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 35 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 48 |
12 | Stevenage | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 46 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 44 |
15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 43 |
16 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 41 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 41 |
18 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 40 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 39 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
21 | Burton Albion | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 33 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |