Bolton2 - 0Fleetwood
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town
Bolton will certainly be disappointed by their midweek defeat, while Fleetwood arrive without pressure and in a positive run of form, but with the need for three points to remain in the top six, we back Evatt's side to just get over the line on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
53.44% ( 0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.01) | 21.14% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% ( 0.02) | 55.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% ( 0.01) | 76.94% ( -0.01) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.02) | 20.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.36% ( 0.03) | 53.64% ( -0.03) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.51% ( -0.02) | 41.49% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.01% ( -0.01) | 77.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.43% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 21.14% |
