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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (5')
Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
22.54% (1.259 1.26) 22.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 54.61% (-1.323 -1.32)
Both teams to score 55.93% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (1.24 1.24)43.92% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (1.198 1.2)66.3% (-1.205 -1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.873 1.87)33.42% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (2.003 2)70.04% (-2.01 -2.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)45.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.54%
    Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
    Draw 22.84%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.277 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.251 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.546 -0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.506 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Bolton Wanderers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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