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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (5')
Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
22.54% (1.259 1.26) 22.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 54.61% (-1.323 -1.32)
Both teams to score 55.93% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (1.24 1.24)43.92% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (1.198 1.2)66.3% (-1.205 -1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.873 1.87)33.42% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (2.003 2)70.04% (-2.01 -2.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)45.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.54%
    Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
    Draw 22.84%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.277 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.251 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.546 -0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.506 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Bolton Wanderers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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