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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
38.32% ( 0.01) | 27.28% ( 0) | 34.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.41% ( -0) | 55.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.24% ( -0.01) | 76.76% ( 0.01) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% ( 0.01) | 28.16% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% ( 0.01) | 63.85% ( -0) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% ( -0.01) | 30.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.22% ( -0.01) | 66.79% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |