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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Smith (69'), Mitov (90+4'), McGrandles (90+2'), Morrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (82')
Brown (0'), Rooney (68'), Wiredu (69'), Earl (74'), Marriott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.32%
    Fleetwood Town 34.4%
    Draw 27.27%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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