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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Smith (69'), Mitov (90+4'), McGrandles (90+2'), Morrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (82')
Brown (0'), Rooney (68'), Wiredu (69'), Earl (74'), Marriott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.32%
    Fleetwood Town 34.4%
    Draw 27.27%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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