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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Cambridge
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Lankester (3'), Smith (57' pen.)
Smith (69'), Mitov (90+4'), McGrandles (90+2'), Morrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (82')
Brown (0'), Rooney (68'), Wiredu (69'), Earl (74'), Marriott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

Two of the last three meetings between these two sides have finished in draws, and we are predicting another stalemate on Friday afternoon. Cambridge were excellent against Port Vale last time out and will fancy their chances of avoiding defeat in front of their own supporters here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.32% (0.013000000000005 0.01) 27.28% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.41% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.76% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.85% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)30.56% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.79% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 38.32%
    Fleetwood Town 34.4%
    Draw 27.27%
Cambridge UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 38.32%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.4%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
1-1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
2-2
Fleetwood
May (35'), Tracey (51')
Digby (30')
Hill (2'), Lane (76')
Nov 8, 2014 3pm
First Round
Cambridge
1-0
Fleetwood
Appiah (80')

Hitchcock (68')
Proctor (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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