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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
34.83% ( 0) | 27.43% ( -0) | 37.74% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 49.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.87% ( 0.01) | 56.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.8% ( 0.01) | 77.19% ( -0.01) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.45% ( 0.01) | 30.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% ( 0.01) | 66.77% ( -0.01) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.24% ( 0.01) | 28.76% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.4% ( 0.01) | 64.59% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |