League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hamilton (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
71.12% ( 0.03)	17.89% ( -0.01)	10.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.7% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.87% (

-0.02)

43.13% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.47% (

-0.02)

65.53% (

0.02)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.16% (

10.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.08% (

34.92% (

-0)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.37% (

-0.05)

47.63% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.04% (

-0.03)

82.96% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 71.12%

Accrington Stanley 10.99%

Draw 17.89%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 71.12%	1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.89%	0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 10.99%