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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
71.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 10.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)65.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 71.12%
    Accrington Stanley 10.99%
    Draw 17.89%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.12%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Bolton vs Accrington

Bolton Wanderers
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Accrington Stanley
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Accrington
0-2
Bolton

Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bolton
0-0
Accrington

Bryan (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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