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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Bolton logo

Fleetwood
1 - 2
Bolton

Mendes Gomes (16')
Rooney (49'), Andrew (53'), Earl (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45'), Bradley (78'), Afolayan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Even having failed to win either of their last two fixtures, Bolton are the marginal favourites to prevail on Saturday. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Fleetwood record, leading us to predict another competitive share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
30.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.75% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 43.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)54.63% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)75.97% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.104 -0.1)33.06% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.117 -0.12)69.65% (0.121 0.12)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)25.08% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 30.05%
    Bolton Wanderers 43.19%
    Draw 26.75%
Fleetwood TownDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.19%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Bolton

Fleetwood Town
32.9%
Draw
35.7%
Bolton Wanderers
31.4%
70
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Fleetwood
O'Grady (28'), Murphy (33')
Wright (4'), Murphy (11')
Morris (85')
Dempsey (26'), Coyle (30'), Madden (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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